TROPICS: Watching Caribbean disturbance, may become depression or storm

Rain impacts could arrive along the Gulf Coast region next week

TROPICS: Watching Caribbean disturbance, may become depression or storm

BILOXI, MS (WLOX) - Next week, we’ll be keeping a close eye on the Gulf of Mexico. A tropical disturbance or depression or storm may arrive in the Gulf from the Caribbean, possibly bringing a Gulf Coast rain threat.

On Friday, the disturbance was located in the western Caribbean near Honduras. It was moving to the northwest, toward the Yucatan Peninsula.

“It’s on a path toward the Gulf of Mexico,” said WLOX First Alert Meteorologist Wesley Williams on Friday. “This southeast to northwest steering current is due to clockwise flow around a high pressure ridge located to the system’s north.”

“Any development or intensification should be slow to occur," Williams said. "This is because of strong wind shear across the Caribbean. This wind shear, or strong upper-level wind, often makes it difficult for a system to develop a circulation and become better organized.”

Moderate to heavy rainfall up to three inches could potentially impact areas along the Gulf Coast region anywhere from Louisiana to Mississippi to Alabama to Florida during the calendar week of Monday, October 8 through Friday October 12.

There is still some uncertainty with any possible Gulf Coast impacts from this disturbance. This disturbance currently has a medium chance to become a depression or storm by next week, according to the National Hurricane Center on Friday morning.

Hurricane Season ends on November 30th.

Last year, Hurricane Nate made a landfall in Biloxi on October 8, 2017. And Nate began as a tropical depression in the Caribbean Sea on October 4, 2017.

History repeating itself? Nate 2017 vs Michael 2018 Posted: Thu 10-4-18 Latest: Official:...

Posted by Meteorologist Wesley Williams on Thursday, October 4, 2018

You can also track the tropics in our WLOX Weather App’s interactive radar map. Click here to find out how to get the app.

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