Potential remains for possible Gulf tropical system this week - WLOX.com - The News for South Mississippi

Potential remains for possible Gulf tropical system this week

Forecasts agree that a tropical disturbance will enter the eastern Gulf during early this week. Beyond that, uncertainty arises. Forecasts agree that a tropical disturbance will enter the eastern Gulf during early this week. Beyond that, uncertainty arises.
SOUTH MISSISSIPPI (WLOX) -

The potential remains for a tropical disturbance to move into the Gulf of Mexico this week, possibly becoming a named tropical system.

Tropical wave Invest 99-L was located near the Bahamas, moving to the west at about 10 miles per hour according to a Saturday morning statement from the National Hurricane Center (NHC).

NHC says 99-L has a medium chance to develop into a named tropical system over the next five days. They think it will continue moving westward, entering the eastern Gulf near the tip of Florida some over the next few days before possibly continuing on a northwestward path.

Forecast models remain uncertain about 99-L's future track and intensity.

"The GFS Ensemble model, a reliable computer model for forecast track, suggests that 99-L will continue moving northwest through the early week period," said WLOX First Alert Meteorologist Wesley Williams on Saturday. "The latest run of the HWRF model, a reliable computer model for forecast intensity, suggests that 99-L could reach major hurricane status by midweek."

"Of course, these single-runs of single-models will likely not reveal the true future path or strength of this potential storm," Williams continued. "Forecast models tend to perform poorly until there is an actual well-defined tropical system to track. And 99-L just is not developed enough yet. But, if or once 99-L becomes better organized, we should expect the models to get a better grasp of its forecast."

"The bottom line is that the extended forecast for this tropical wave still remains uncertain," said Williams on Saturday. "Areas from Texas to Florida along the U.S. Gulf Coast could potentially face tropical impacts. However, at this time, the WLOX Weather Team is not expecting any direct tropical impacts as our seven-day forecast shows partly cloudy skies on Wednesday through Friday. But, that can change. So, it's important to keep an eye on the forecast for the middle to end of this week to see if we begin to expect any impacts locally."

"With the potential for a named tropical system in the Gulf this upcoming week, even if the chance for development appears low at times, it is important to not let our guards down. Make sure your hurricane plan is ready in case you need to put that plan into action."

Be sure to download the WLOX Weather App for video tropical updates around-the-clock when you're on-the-go.

Copyright 2016 WLOX. All rights reserved.

  • WLOX First Alert Weather BlogsMore>>

  • Thursday thunderstorms threaten with severe weather

    Thursday thunderstorms threaten with severe weather

    Wednesday, March 29 2017 7:02 AM EDT2017-03-29 11:02:39 GMT
    Nice weather Wednesday. Then, stormy on Thursday with severe weather possible. It clears out by Friday.Nice weather Wednesday. Then, stormy on Thursday with severe weather possible. It clears out by Friday.

    Severe weather will be possible across much of the Central Gulf Coast region on Thursday.

    More >>

    Severe weather will be possible across much of the Central Gulf Coast region on Thursday.

    More >>
  • Spotted This Weekend: Waterspout off Gulfport coast

    Spotted This Weekend: Waterspout off Gulfport coast

    Sunday, March 26 2017 12:04 PM EDT2017-03-26 16:04:40 GMT
    (Photo source: WLOX)(Photo source: WLOX)

    Meteorologists Eric Jeansonne and Andrew Wilson captured a small waterspout on the WLOX tower cam off the coast of Gulfport this weekend.

    More >>

    Meteorologists Eric Jeansonne and Andrew Wilson captured a small waterspout on the WLOX tower cam off the coast of Gulfport this weekend.

    More >>
  • Stormy for March's final Saturday

    Stormy for March's final Saturday

    Thursday, March 23 2017 1:35 PM EDT2017-03-23 17:35:21 GMT
    As a Saturday cold front moves in from the west, numerous thunderstorms, some strong, will put parts of the region at risk for severe weather.As a Saturday cold front moves in from the west, numerous thunderstorms, some strong, will put parts of the region at risk for severe weather.

    A few isolated severe storms will be possible, producing mainly threats of damaging wind gusts. But, hail and an isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out.

    More >>

    A few isolated severe storms will be possible, producing mainly threats of damaging wind gusts. But, hail and an isolated tornado or two cannot be ruled out.

    More >>
Powered by Frankly