SOUTH MISSISSIPPI (WLOX) - While there are a few tropical waves in the Caribbean and open Atlantic, the official word from the National Hurricane Center is that no tropical development is expected in the next five days.
That's means folks along the Gulf Coast will have no tropical threats to worry about for the holiday weekend.
However, WLOX First Alert Meteorologist Wesley Williams is watching for potential tropical activity during the upcoming week.
"I agree with the National Hurricane Center that no tropical threat will affect South Mississippi through Wednesday," commented Williams. "However, I am tracking a disorganized tropical wave located east of the Lesser Antilles on Saturday. I think that wave could have a low chance for development during the upcoming week."
"No forecast model develops that tropical wave," Williams continued. "That tropical wave will likely remain an open wave of low pressure as it heads westward through the Caribbean later this week, based on model data. Thankfully, it looks like strong wind shear in the Caribbean should prevent that tropical wave from forming into a tropical system once its in the Caribbean."
July is a month where we pay attention to several regions for potential tropical development. July heat brings increasing sea-surface temperatures to the Atlantic Basin which typically leads to a slight boost in tropical activity this time of year.
"In July, storms tend to form on the tail end of washed-out fronts across the Gulf and off the east U.S. coast," WLOX First Alert Meteorologist Wesley Williams explained. "You also see the Caribbean as another hot spot for tropical activity in July. But, the water is typically still not warm enough yet to start seeing storms form right off the African coast."
On Saturday, Gulf of Mexico waters about 85 degrees, Caribbean Sea waters about 83 degrees, and Atlantic waters from the Lesser Antilles to the west African Coast about 79 degrees.
Water temperatures must be 82 degrees or warmer for tropical systems to form, according to NOAA.