Tropics Blog 6/18: Possible development in Bay of Campeche

Tropics Blog 6/18: Possible development in Bay of Campeche

SOUTH MISSISSIPPI (WLOX) - There is a medium chance that a tropical depression or tropical storm form in the southern Gulf of Mexico by the middle of the upcoming work week.

A tropical wave, known as Invest 94L, was located in the Bay of Campeche, just west of the Yucatan Peninsula on Saturday afternoon. This tropical wave was moving to the west-northwest at about nine miles per hour.

94L has favorable warm water temps in the Bay of Campeche. It also has the curvature of the terrain surrounding the Bay of Campeche working in its favor: that feature typically helps storms to easily spin up in that region. 94L has unfavorable dry air and strong wind shear in its path.

This tropical wave should continue westward based on the latest steering current. An upper ridge centered near Texas will push a strong northerly flow across the northern Gulf, preventing the system from moving toward the northern Gulf Coast.

"Regardless of development, this system will have no impact to South Mississippi," said WLOX First Alert Meteorologist Wesley Williams. "But, areas in eastern Mexico and extreme southern Texas will be on the lookout for heavy rains during the upcoming week."

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