A wet evening for us, and the latest on the tropics - WLOX.com - The News for South Mississippi

A wet evening for us, and the latest on the tropics

(Photo source: WLOX News) (Photo source: WLOX News)
(Photo source: WLOX News) (Photo source: WLOX News)
(Photo source: WLOX News) (Photo source: WLOX News)
(Photo source: WLOX News) (Photo source: WLOX News)
(Photo source: WLOX News) (Photo source: WLOX News)
SOUTH MISSISSIPPI (WLOX) -

Saturday was a wet day across South Mississippi as we dealt with wave after wave of showers and storms.

As we move through Saturday evening and Sunday morning, there is a possibly of an inch or more in the way of rainfall for some areas over the next 24 hours.

Luckily, it does not look like severe weather will be an issue, though some storms could have frequent lightning at times.

Don't forget that you can download the free WLOX First Alert Weather App to get alerts when severe weather does strike and even get live looks at radar whenever you are on-the-go.

Another thing that the WLOX First Alert Weather App gives you updates on what's happening in the tropics, where we currently have a disturbance that we are watching in the western Caribbean Sea.

"We are watching the disturbance closely, but it does not look to be an issue for us," Meteorologist Andrew Wilson said.

With the 8 p.m. release of the tropical outlook from the National Hurricane Center in Miami, the latest forecast has an 80 percent chance for tropical development over the next 48 hours, and an 80 percent chance of development over the next five days.

If this storm does intensify from a disturbance, into a depression - and then into a tropical storm - it would earn the name Colin as our third named storm of the year.

Over the next 48 hours the storm is expected to move north, which would put it into the Gulf of Mexico, down by the Yucatan Peninsula.

As the storm pushes north it looks to take a turn and move onshore around the "big bend" of Florida, otherwise known as areas East of Apalachicola, Florida and North of Tampa. However, this area is not definite as the spot the storm will move onshore for now.

Most of the computer models we use to forecast have the storm moving onshore at the "big bend" of Florida, but some others have it trying to go other places in the Gulf of Mexico and dying out because of something that protected us from storms last year.

Lucky for us, we are one of those spots that will be more protected from the storm.

Shear is going to play a big roll in keeping this storm from being an issue for us. Strong shear is bad for storms because it causes them to fall apart. Shear was something that protected us from storms like Danny and Erika over the 2015 Hurricane season.

Erika and Danny were two storms ripped apart by the shear as they tried to move through the Caribbean Sea.

The disturbance we are watching today does not look to be an issue for us, but our friends in Florida may have a very wet start to the week with the main issue being flooding along the Florida Peninsula.

Rainfall totals could be between 4-8 inches for some spots from now through Tuesday, which would be when the storm moves across the Florida Peninsula.

Of course while this storm continues to form we will be sending out more information, so be sure to stay updated on air, at WLOX.com, and with the WLOX First Alert Weather App over the next few days as we continue to track this disturbance in the tropics.

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