SOUTH MISSISSIPPI (WLOX) - There is a potential for tropical activity in the southern Gulf of Mexico near the Yucatan Channel, according to a Wednesday Tropical Weather Outlook issued by the National Hurricane Center (NHC).
NHC is forecasting a very low (0%) chance for tropical development in the southern Gulf region over the next two days and a low (20%) chance for tropical development in that region over the next five days.
"We likely won't see any tropical activity appear on satellite or radar there until after this weekend," said WLOX Meteorologist Wesley Williams. "The latest computer forecast models suggest a weak area of low pressure could develop around early next week and would drift to the northeast toward Florida, possibly strengthening to a tropical depression or tropical storm thanks to favorable conditions."
Williams explained that the conditions will be favorable for development in the southern Gulf region next week due to lower wind shear. He also stated that none of the long-range forecast models suggested this potential system would reach hurricane strength.
"Keep in mind that, right now, it is too early for any more specifics on this forecast considering that the system doesn't exist yet," commented Williams. "But, I'm sure that more details will be nailed down as we reach the weekend. As of the latest info, all of the forecast models suggest that this potential system would bring zero impact to South MS, or anywhere west of Pensacola for that matter."
During the month of June, the Gulf of Mexico typically becomes a breeding ground for tropical activity. June 1st marks the beginning of the official 2016 hurricane season.
Hurricane season typically peaks around August. It does not end until November 30th.