June 1 means Hurricane season is here - WLOX.com - The News for South Mississippi

June 1 means Hurricane season is here

BILOXI, MS (WLOX) - Today is the beginning of the 2015 Hurricane Season. While all signs point to a slow and below average year, it only takes one storm hitting your area to make it an active year. So, plan ahead and prepare now. 


The average Hurricane Season has 12 named storms, six hurricanes and three major hurricanes, category three or higher. 


The Colorado State University duo of Philip J. Klotzbach and William M. Gray have forecast a below average season. The team from CSU has been releasing seasonal forecasts for the past 32 years. For 2015, they are forecasting: eight named storms, three hurricanes and one major hurricane. 


“The team bases its forecasts on over 60 years of historical data that include Atlantic sea surface temperatures, sea level pressures, vertical wind shear levels (the change in wind direction and speed with height in the atmosphere), El Niño (warming of waters in the central and eastern tropical Pacific), and other factors…So far, the 2015 season is exhibiting characteristics similar to the 1957, 1987, 1991, 1993 and 2014 hurricane seasons, all of which had below-normal activity…The tropical Atlantic has anomalously cooled over the past several months, and the chances of a moderate to strong El Niño event this summer and fall appear to be quite high. Historical data indicate fewer storms form in these conditions,” according to Klotzbach. 


The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is also forecasting a below average forecast. They are forecasting six to 11 named storms, three to six hurricanes and zero to two major hurricanes. 


“NOAA's roots date back to 1807, when the Nation's first scientific agency, the Survey of the Coast, was established. Since then, NOAA has evolved to meet the needs of a changing country. NOAA maintains a presence in every state and has emerged as an international leader on scientific and environmental matters.” 


NOAA's mission:

Science, Service, and Stewardship.

To understand and predict changes in climate, weather, oceans, and coasts,

To share that knowledge and information with others, and

To conserve and manage coastal and marine ecosystems and resources. 


The WLOX Hurricane Preparedness Special will air on WLOX CBS this Friday, June 5 at 6:30pm and again on WLOX ABC on Saturday, June 6 at 5:00pm. Be sure to tune in as WLOX Meteorologists talk with the three coastal county Emergency Management Directors, dissect a hurricane and give helpful tips to prepare for the hurricane season. 


For more information on landfall forecasts, you can go to Colorado State's press release HERE. For a more scientifically analyzed forecast by CSU, click HERE


Copyright 2015 WLOX. All rights reserved.


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