Poll Shows Incumbents Running Strong - WLOX.com - The News for South Mississippi

10/31/03

Poll Shows Incumbents Running Strong

The latest Mason-Dixon Poll shows Lt. Governor Amy Tuck holds a comfortable lead over Democratic challenger Barbara Blackmon. Statewide, 52% of likely voters support Tuck, while 36% back Blackmon, 2% are for Reform Party candidate Anna Reeves and 10% are undecided.

In the race for Attorney General, Democrat Jim Hood holds a 46%-29% lead over Republican Scott Newton.

The race for State Treasurer appears to be the closest race, with Republican Tate Reeves holding a narrow 37%-33% lead over Democrat Gary Anderson and a very significant 27% still undecided.

In the other statewide races, the incumbents hold solid leads and are strong favorites for re-election.

Secretary of State Eric Clark leads 51%-13% over his closest challenger, State Commissioner of Insurance George Dale is ahead by 55%-12%, Commissioner of Agriculture Lester Spell is favored by 49%-23% and State Auditor Phil Bryant has a margin of 47%-21%.

The Mason-Dixon Mississippi Poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from October 27 through October 29, 2003.

A total of 625 registered Mississippi voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November 4th general election. Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state.

Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county. The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points.

This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a regional or racial grouping.

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